The 2025 Kentucky Derby will attempt to match the drama of final yr’s race, which featured a three-horse photograph end for the primary time since 1947. The primary leg of the Triple Crown is ready for Saturday, Could 3, and the 2025 Kentucky Derby subject is ready following this weekend’s 2025 Kentucky Derby publish place draw. Solely 5 horses have received the Kentucky Derby at 50-1 odds or longer, however two of them have come within the final decade, Nation Home (65-1) in 2019 and Wealthy Strike (80-1) in 2022. Do you have to goal any longshots among the many 2025 Kentucky Derby horses at Churchill Downs?
Kentucky Derby favorites have received 56 of the earlier 150 editions of this race, together with six of the final 12. Journalism is the 3-1 favourite within the 2025 Kentucky Derby odds, adopted by Sovereignty (5-1) and Sandman (6-1). Earlier than making any 2025 Kentucky Derby picks, you’ll want to see the horse racing predictions and futures bets from SportsLine’s elite horse racing professional Jody Demling.
A fixture within the horse racing world who has been writing about, speaking about and betting on races for years, Demling has nailed the Kentucky Oaks-Derby double 11 instances within the final 16 years. He additionally predicted the winner of the Belmont Stakes 4 of the final seven years and referred to as 10 of the final 20 Preakness winners, together with in 2023, when he hit the winner, exacta, trifecta and superfecta, in addition to the trifecta in 2024. Anybody who has adopted him on these picks is up enormous.
Now, with the 2025 Kentucky Derby publish positions set and odds on the board, Demling is sharing his picks and 2025 Kentucky Derby predictions over at SportsLine. Go right here to see them.
Prime 2025 Kentucky Derby predictions
Considered one of Demling’s stunning 2025 Kentucky Derby picks: He’s fading Rodriguez (12-1), who barely hits the board in his 2025 Kentucky Derby projections. Rodriguez clinched his spot within the Derby subject with a win within the 2025 Wooden Memorial (G2) earlier this month, however that was his first win in three graded stakes races. He completed second within the Robert B. Lewis (G3) and third within the San Felipe (G2), dropping to Derby favourite Journalism within the latter of these races.
Rodriguez is educated by Bob Baffert, who’s making an attempt to win a record-setting seventh Kentucky Derby. His jockey, Mike E. Smith, has solely received the Derby as soon as since 2005, and it got here with a generational horse in Justify, who received the Triple Crown in 2018. Rodriguez carried out nicely within the Wooden Memorial with out blinkers on, however Demling has not seen sufficient to have Baffert’s horse hitting the board. See which different 2025 Kentucky Derby horses to keep away from at SportsLine.
One other stunner: Demling is excessive on Luxor Cafe, despite the fact that he’s a 15-1 longshot within the Kentucky Derby odds 2025. Luxor Cafe drew publish place No. 7, which should not create many points for the Japanese horse. Put up place No. 7 has produced eight Kentucky Derby winners and solely three publish positions have produced extra victors. The No. 7 publish has an 8.5% win price, sixth-best of all positions and fourth-best of any with at the very least 65 begins.
Luxor Cafe showcased his velocity and endurance by pulling away from the sector late in his 2025 Fukuryu Stakes victory for his fourth straight win. Because the son of American Pharoah, considered one of simply 13 Triple Crown winners of all-time, Luxor Cafe has arguably the strongest pedigree within the 2025 Kentucky Derby lineup. No Japanese horse has received the Run for the Roses, however Without end Younger set a brand new Japanese horse finest by ending third in final yr’s Kentucky Derby. Demling believes at 15-1 odds, there’s worth in betting Luxor Cafe to surpass that outcome and make historical past. See which different horses to again at SportsLine.
How one can make 2025 Kentucky Derby picks, bets
Demling is very excessive on a double-digit longshot who’s coming off an “spectacular” and surprising displaying in his final race. Demling is sharing which horse it’s, alongside along with his whole projected 2025 Kentucky Derby leaderboard, over at SportsLine.
Which horse wins the Kentucky Derby 2025, and which double-digit longshot is a must-back? Try the newest 2025 Kentucky Derby odds beneath, then go to SportsLine to see Demling’s picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the professional who has nailed 11 Derby-Oaks doubles.
2025 Kentucky Derby odds, publish positions
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