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Kentucky Derby 2025 predictions, time, horses, picks, odds: Finest bets from knowledgeable who hit final yr’s winner

No coach within the historical past of North American horse racing has extra victories than Steve Asmussen, however because the Corridor-of-Famer heads in the direction of the 2025 Kentucky Derby on Saturday at Churchill Downs, he is might be specializing in a extra doubtful distinction. Asmussen is 0-for-26 in his profession within the Run for the Roses, the longest drought in Kentucky Derby historical past. Nonetheless, has two 2025 Kentucky Derby horses so as to add a career-defining win to his resume, with the 2025 Kentucky Derby publish time scheduled for six:57 p.m. ET. Asmussen will saddle Writer and Tiztastic, each sons of Kentucky Derby winners which can be priced at 20-1 within the 2025 Kentucky Derby odds.

How will Asmussen fare within the 151st Run for the Roses and who’re a few of the different high 2025 Kentucky Derby contenders to focus on? Earlier than making any 2025 Kentucky Derby picks, you may wish to see what SportsLine horse racing knowledgeable Gene Menez has to say earlier than making any 2025 Kentucky Derby picks or horse racing predictions.

A former reporter and editor at Sports activities Illustrated, Menez coated an array of sports activities, together with horse racing, for the journal and its web site for nearly 14 years. Between 2010 and 2012, he served as SI’s handicapper for the Triple Crown races and accurately predicted Tremendous Saver to win the Kentucky Derby in 2010.

In 2015, Menez precisely gave out the Kentucky Derby superfecta, which paid $1,268.20 for $2. In 2017, he tweeted out his Kentucky Derby picks, together with At all times Dreaming to win, and hit the Choose 4, which paid virtually $6,900 on a $1 wager.

In Could of final yr, Menez nailed 18-1 Mystik Dan as a stay longshot within the Kentucky Derby. In November, he crushed the late Choose 4 on Breeders’ Cup Saturday for a $5,303 jackpot. This yr, he hit the winner and exacta within the Holy Bull Stakes and the winner, trifecta and superfecta within the Florida Derby. Anybody who has adopted him on betting apps like TwinSpires and 1/ST BET may have been means up.

For the Run for the Roses, Menez has handicapped the 2025 Kentucky Derby subject, made his picks and constructed his finest bets. You may head to SportsLine now to see them.

Prime 2025 Kentucky Derby predictions

Certainly one of Menez’ shocking 2025 Kentucky Derby picks: He’s fading Sandman (6-1), though he gained the Arkansas Derby and is likely one of the high 2025 Kentucky Derby favorites. Coach Mark Casse and jockey Jose Ortiz are broadly thought to be two of the most effective within the enterprise, however each have struggled on the Run for the Roses traditionally. Casse is 0-for-10 on the Kentucky Derby and has by no means had a horse hit the board, whereas Ortiz is 0-for-9 in his profession with Kentucky Derby mounts.

Sandman flashed spectacular closing velocity in going from eighth-to-first towards a nine-horse subject within the Arkansas Derby, however he benefited from a brisk early tempo. In opposition to pacesetters with the restraint to dial it again and go wire-to-wire, he may need to kick earlier and he may face a visitors alongside the best way towards a subject stuffed with closers. Added distance at Churchill Downs may assist, however Tapit’s bloodline has usually fared higher within the 12-furlong Belmont Stakes. Menez thinks a late cost to a third-place end is the best-case situation for Sandman, making him a horse to fade when finalizing the right way to wager the Kentucky Derby 2025.

One other curveball: Menez is excessive on Burnham Sq., though he’s a 12-1 longshot within the Kentucky Derby odds 2025. In 5 profession races, Burnham Sq. has three wins, together with within the Blue Grass. He additionally took first within the 2025 Holy Bull Stakes. His first win got here on Dec. 28, and he entered his first graded-stakes occasion on February 1.

Some 2025 Kentucky Derby bettors have been fading Burnham Sq. as a result of a disappointing fourth-place end within the 2025 Fountain of Youth Stakes was gained by Kentucky Derby entrant Sovereignty. Nonetheless, he rebounded sturdy on the 2025 Blue Grass. Menez is not too involved along with his Fountain of Youth outcomes and is assured Burnham Sq. is a real contender. See which 2025 Kentucky Derby horses he likes at SportsLine.

Tips on how to make 2025 Kentucky Derby bets, picks

Menez’ high decide is a horse who “is bred to solely get higher with the added distance.” He is additionally excessive on a double-digit longshot who owns “probably the most superior flip of foot of any of the Kentucky Derby hopefuls.” Menez is sharing who he likes over at SportsLine.

Which horse wins the Kentucky Derby 2025, and which double-digit longshot is a must-back? Take a look at the newest 2025 Kentucky Derby odds beneath, then go to SportsLine to see Menez’ picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the knowledgeable who known as Mystik Dan as an 18-1 stay longshot in final yr’s race.

2025 Kentucky Derby odds, publish positions

2025 Kentucky Derby contenders

1 Citizen Bull | 2 Neoequos | 3 Ultimate Gambit | 4 Rodriguez | 5 American Promise | 6 Admire Daytona | 7 Luxor Cafe | 8 Journalism | 9 Burnham Sq. | 10 Grande | 11 Flying Mohawk | 12 East Avenue | 13 Writer | 14 Tiztastic | 15 Render Judgment | 16 Coal Battle | 17 Sandman | 18 Sovereignty | 19 Chunk of Gold | 20 Owen Almighty 

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