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Key highlights
The present tariffs will drive up inflation within the close to time period, and damage development.
Now’s the time for the US central financial institution to attend and see on rates of interest.
The bar for Fed coverage change now’s fairly excessive.
Lengthy-term treasuries nonetheless seem like the most secure asset on this planet.
I choose market inflation expectations knowledge over surveys.
The present knowledge recommend the job market continues to be stable.
I received’t speculate on how the Fed would reply to a market stress occasion.
Broad monetary situations indices might be arduous to learn.
The bond market selloff confirmed that the US was not the one nation getting hit.
The stable 10-year treasury public sale decreased my fear concerning the market.
Present tariffs are increased than most situations, even with Trump’s pause.
The present tariff system is a giant state of affairs.
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